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Shadow PM Analysis

YouTube

What would I do if I were the PM for YouTube?

Product: YouTube

FOCUS METRIC

Creator Retention (90-day active rate)

WHY THIS MATTERS

YouTube's success depends on creators consistently publishing content. If creators stop posting, the platform loses supply.

Current State Analysis

What's Happening Today

Many new creators give up after first 3 months

Algorithm favors established creators, making it hard for new ones to grow

Monetization threshold (1000 subscribers, 4000 watch hours) feels out of reach

Limited feedback on why videos underperform

HYPOTHESIS

New creators leave because they don't see early momentum or clear path to monetization.

Research to Validate Hypothesis

Interview 50 creators who stopped posting (understand why)

Analyze cohort data: Day 30, 60, 90 posting rates by subscriber growth

Survey active creators: what kept them motivated early on?

Benchmark competitor platforms (TikTok, Instagram) creator retention

90-Day Execution Plan

Research & Define (Weeks 1-4)

Phase 1

Conduct 50 creator interviews (25 who quit, 25 who stayed)

Analyze data: correlation between early metrics and retention

Workshop with Creator Partnerships team to understand pain points

Define success metric: Increase 90-day retention from X% to Y%

Prototype & Test (Weeks 5-8)

Phase 2

Build 'Creator Dashboard' showing progress to monetization

Test 'Early Wins' notification system (first 100 views, first comment, etc.)

Prototype 'Micro-monetization' – tips enabled at 100 subscribers

Run controlled experiment with 1000 new creators

Launch & Iterate (Weeks 9-12)

Phase 3

Roll out winning variants to 10% of new creators

Monitor 90-day retention rate vs control group

Gather qualitative feedback through surveys

Plan v2 based on learnings

What I Would NOT Build

Just as important as what to build is what NOT to build. These options might seem appealing but would distract from the core goal:

❌ AI video generator – Doesn't solve retention, changes core value prop

❌ New creator discovery algorithm – Too big, too slow, not testable in 90 days

❌ Advanced analytics dashboard – Nice-to-have, won't move retention needle

❌ Creator community forums – Takes focus away from content creation

Expected Impact

If early momentum increases creator confidence, predict 15-20% improvement in 90-day retention rate.